The relationships between armed groups in North and Western Africa are often characterized by widely varying rivalries and alliances. Groups that were fighting each other one day can very well be allied the next day.
In a recent paper published in Terrorism and Political Violence, my co-authors Christian Leuprecht and David Skillicorn and I have used network analysis to represent alliances and conflicts among 179 organizations involved in violence in the region. Building on ACLED data from 1997-2014, we show that the structural positions of armed groups affect their ability to resort to political violence. In other words, groups with similar allies and foes have similar patterns of violence.
Our new paper combines, for the first time, two spectral embedding techniques that have previously been considered separately: one that takes into account the direction of relationships between belligerents, and one that takes into consideration whether relationships between groups are positive or negative.
The 16th edition of the Border regions in Transition (BRIT) Conference will be co-hosted by the Institute for Peace and Strategic Studies at the University of Ibadan, Nigeria and the University of Abomey-Calavi in Benin from October 15 – 18, 2018.
It is the first time that BRIT – one of the two leading border conferences in the world – is organized in Africa. The conference, which will address “North-South Dialogue on Border Management”, has received the institutional support of several Nigerian authorities.
Since 1994, BRIT conferences have been jointly held in two cities situated in different countries, including San Diego-Tijuana (1999), Jerusalem-Palestine (2005), Fukuoka-Busan (2012), and Hamburg-Sønderborg (2016).
Our new book “African Border Disorders” was published in the Routledge Series in African and International Politics this week. Edited with my colleague Bill Miles at Northeastern, the book explores the relationships that bind states, transnational rebels and extremist organizations, and borders in Africa.
Combining network science with geographical analysis, the first part of the book highlights how the fluid alliances and conflicts between rebels, extremist organizations and states shape regional patterns of violence in Africa. The second part examines the spread of Islamist violence around Lake Chad through the lens of the violent group Boko Haram, which has evolved from a nationally oriented militia group, to an internationally networked organization. The third part of “African Border Disorders” explores how violent extremist organizations conceptualize state boundaries and territory and, reciprocally, how the civil society and the state respond to the rise of transnational organizations.
This edited volume is the first tangible output of our international network funded by the Danish government. It builds on a two-day workshop organized at the Division of Global Affairs at Rutgers–The State University of New Jersey in September 2016.
Editors: Olivier J. Walther and William F.S. Miles. Contributors: Dan Cunningham (NPS), Caitriona Dowd (IDS), Nikolas Emmanuel (Copenhagen), Sean Everton (NPS), Christian Leuprecht (Queen’s), William F.S. Miles, Jaume Castan Pinos (SDU), Steven M. Radil (Idaho), David Skillicorn (Queen’s), Kristen Tsolis (MIIS), Olivier J. Walther, Bruce Whitehouse (Lehigh), Quan Zheng (Queen’s).
Our paper our Hezbollah’s criminal networks in North America finally appeared in print in Terrorism and Political Violence. Written with my Canadian colleagues Christian Leuprecht, David Skillicorn and Hillary Ryde-Collins almost two years ago, the paper uses social network analysis to map two fundraising networks for which sufficient open-source intelligence was available. It confirms that the networks conformed to the hub-type structure, where a relatively small number of highly connected actors develop transnational linkages and funnel a portion of the illicit gains to their home country without engaging in domestic attacks. Read the full paper by clicking on this eprint link.
In The Wave of Jihadist Insurgency in West Africa, our colleague Ibrahim Yahaya Ibrahim discusses the emergence of jihadist movements such as Boko Haram and AQIM in West Africa. His working paper is the first concrete product of our new collaboration with the OECD Sahel and West Africa Club.
Our new book “Cross-border Co-operation and Policy Networks in West Africa” was launched at the 2017 European Conference on African Studies (ECAS). Published by the OECD Sahel & West Africa Club (SWAC) Secretariat, the book uses social network analysis to examine how policy actors involved in cross-border co-operation contribute to the regional integration process in West Africa.
In addition to Laurent Bossard and Marie Trémolières from SWAC/OECD, the book was discussed by Daniel Bach (Sciences Po), Mohamadou Abdoul (GIZ), Leena Hoffmann (CILSS) and Bruce Byiers (ECDPM)..
Our latest working paper written with Simon Renk of the World Food Program discusses how network analysis can be used as a policy and empowerment tool by development and humanitarian organizations. Focusing on West Africa, we are particularly interested in the application of network analysis to the fields of food security, market analysis and gender, three policy areas that, despite being fundamentally relational by nature, have received little attention from network science so far.